Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.000697 0.000793 0.000895 0.001010 0.001137 0.001272 0.001426
2025-08-03 0.000528 0.000658 0.000805 0.000983 0.001191 0.001425 0.001707
2025-08-10 0.000454 0.000601 0.000776 0.000996 0.001263 0.001574 0.001961
2025-08-17 0.000393 0.000550 0.000744 0.000998 0.001316 0.001697 0.002184
2025-08-24 0.000331 0.000489 0.000692 0.000966 0.001320 0.001755 0.002325
2025-08-31 0.000282 0.000438 0.000646 0.000936 0.001322 0.001808 0.002457
2025-09-07 0.000250 0.000407 0.000624 0.000934 0.001355 0.001898 0.002635
2025-09-14 0.000225 0.000382 0.000606 0.000935 0.001392 0.001991 0.002819
2025-09-21 0.000200 0.000355 0.000583 0.000926 0.001413 0.002063 0.002975
2025-09-28 0.000176 0.000328 0.000556 0.000910 0.001422 0.002118 0.003110
2025-10-05 0.000166 0.000321 0.000559 0.000936 0.001491 0.002255 0.003355
2025-10-12 0.000155 0.000311 0.000558 0.000954 0.001549 0.002377 0.003584
2025-10-19 0.000140 0.000292 0.000540 0.000947 0.001569 0.002448 0.003745
2025-10-26 0.000123 0.000270 0.000516 0.000930 0.001573 0.002495 0.003874
2025-11-02 0.000114 0.000260 0.000510 0.000940 0.001618 0.002602 0.004088
2025-11-09 0.000105 0.000248 0.000500 0.000942 0.001650 0.002691 0.004278
2025-11-16 0.000091 0.000225 0.000471 0.000911 0.001630 0.002701 0.004354
2025-11-23 0.000079 0.000206 0.000445 0.000883 0.001612 0.002714 0.004433
2025-11-30 0.000072 0.000195 0.000434 0.000881 0.001634 0.002786 0.004599
2025-12-07 0.000066 0.000186 0.000426 0.000882 0.001661 0.002867 0.004781
2025-12-14 0.000059 0.000175 0.000413 0.000873 0.001672 0.002922 0.004924
2025-12-21 0.000053 0.000163 0.000397 0.000858 0.001672 0.002959 0.005040
2025-12-28 0.000051 0.000163 0.000402 0.000883 0.001739 0.003103 0.005322